The interactive map needs JavaScript. The tables below carry the same data.
This page reports published numbers only. It makes no forecast and adds no characterization of any race or candidate.
Polling averages are shown as each aggregator publishes them, side by side. Aggregators use different poll inclusion rules, weights and adjustments, so their averages can differ. Where they differ, both figures are shown.
Individual polls list the pollster, field dates, sample size, population (LV = likely voters, RV = registered voters, A = adults) and the reported margin of error. A poll's reported margin of error applies to each candidate's share; the gap between two shares carries roughly twice that uncertainty. A gap no larger than twice the reported margin of error is labeled "within margin of error".
Race ratings are quoted in each forecaster's own terms (Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections). The House and governor lists include every race that any of the three rates Toss-up, Tilt or Lean.
Fundraising figures come from the Federal Election Commission API: total receipts, disbursements and cash on hand for each candidate's principal campaign committee for the 2025–26 cycle, through the coverage date shown. Contributions reported on 48-hour notices after that date are not included. Outside spending is the total of independent expenditures reported to the FEC as supporting or opposing the candidate. Governor races are state-level and do not report to the FEC.
Candidates are listed alphabetically by last name. Races are listed alphabetically by state and district. The "since prior day" column compares this snapshot with the previous daily snapshot. Race calls, when shown, are attributed to the organization that made them.
Map colors average the three forecasters' ratings for each race (Solid/Safe = 3, Likely = 2, Lean = 1, Tilt = 0.5, Toss-up = 0, scored toward the rated party) and shade the average: darker for Solid, lighter for Lean and Tilt, gray for Toss-up. Purple marks an independent candidate; a race called by AP or Decision Desk HQ is filled solid in the winner's party color. House districts not rated Toss-up, Tilt or Lean by any forecaster are left unshaded. District boundaries are the lines in effect for November 2026 (Census TIGER 2026, checked against state plan files where states redrew; Missouri uses its 2022 lines because courts blocked its 2025 map). A county is listed with the district that contains its geographic center; counties split between districts are not divided.